By Felix Salmon
May 20, 2023
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America has declared: Now is a terrible time to buy a house
America has declared: Now is a terrible time to buy a house. That implies stronger-than-ever demand for rental property, especially single-family homes.
Why it matters: Housing is still segregated across much of America, with the most expensive neighborhoods almost entirely owner-occupied and less desirable locales containing most of the rental properties. In some parts of the country, however, that's changing.
The big picture: Built-to-rent housing can provide the opportunity to move into a brand-new house — often with professional property management and other amenities attached — without the need to raise a huge down payment or a long-term commitment to stay in place.
Between the lines: Such houses aren't available everywhere. In 10 states, including Oregon, Massachusetts and West Virginia, there is no built-to-rent construction of single-family homes ongoing or planned at all, per the National Rental Home Council (NRHC).
On a per-capita basis, the state with by far the most built-to-rent housing is Arizona, with 2,011 units planned or under construction per million inhabitants. North Carolina is a distant second, with 1,071; Texas is third, with 856.
Nationwide, the average is 345.
What they're saying: “Built-to-rent housing is quickly emerging as an essential, and highly desirable, sector of America’s housing market,” says NRHC CEO David Howard.
"America is facing a housing shortage of somewhere between 3 and 6 million homes. Anything that brings more housing into the mix is a positive."
The bottom line: Built-to-rent single-family new construction isn't going to singlehandedly solve the housing crisis, with only 115,091 units in the pipeline nationwide.
A new dataset from NRHC and Yardi Matrix will allow economists to gauge, on a quarterly and state-by-state basis, whether that new supply is growing or shrinking.
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https://www.axios.com/2023/05/20/us-rental-home-housing-shortage-america
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